Detection of Outbreak Signals Using R

Steve E. Rigdon, George Turabelidze, Richard DeClue, Sarah Patrick, Ehsan Jahanpour, Rong He, Jennifer Lloyd


Regression analysis is used to fit a periodic model to weekly disease counts for reportable diseases in Missouri.  These trigonometric models are then used to obtain upper control limits for the number of cases that would lead to an outbreak signal.  The methods, including graphics, are implemented in the open source statistical package R.

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Online Journal of Public Health Informatics * ISSN 1947-2579 *