OJPHI: Vol. 5
Journal Information
Journal ID (publisher-id): OJPHI
ISSN: 1947-2579
Publisher: University of Illinois at Chicago Library
Article Information
©2013 the author(s)
open-access: This is an Open Access article. Authors own copyright of their articles appearing in the Online Journal of Public Health Informatics. Readers may copy articles without permission of the copyright owner(s), as long as the author and OJPHI are acknowledged in the copy and the copy is used for educational, not-for-profit purposes.
Electronic publication date: Day: 4 Month: 4 Year: 2013
collection publication date: Year: 2013
Volume: 5E-location ID: e62
Publisher Id: ojphi-05-62

MoH+: A Global, Integrated, and Automated View of Official Outbreak Reporting
Chi Bahk*12
David Scales1
Sumiko Mekaru13
John S. Brownstein145
Clark Freifeld16
1Children’s Hospital Informatics Program, Division of Emergency Medicine, Children’s Hospital Boston, Boston, MA, USA;
2Dept of Global Health and Population, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA;
3Dept of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA;
4Dept of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA;
5Dept of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada;
6Dept of Biomedical Engineering, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
*Chi Bahk, E-mail: cbahk@hsph.harvard.edu

Abstract
Objective

To introduce MoH+, HealthMap’s (HM) real-time feed of official government sources, and demonstrate its utility in comparing the timeliness of outbreak reporting between official and unofficial sources.

Introduction

Previous studies have documented significant lags in official reporting of outbreaks compared to unofficial reporting (1,2). MoH+ provides an additional tool to analyze this issue, with the unique advantage of actively gathering a wide range of streamlined official communication, including formal publications, online press releases, and social media updates.

Methods

Outbreaks reported by official sources were identified through MoH+ (healthmap.org/mohplus), which collects surveillance data published globally by ministries of health (MoH), other related ministries, government portals, government-affiliated organizations, and international governing bodies (Fig. 1). Reporting of these outbreaks was also identified in unofficial sources using various HM feeds including Google News, ProMED, and participatory surveillance feeds.

Of the 109 outbreaks identified since May 2012, 65 were excluded as they started before data collection, 7 were excluded as they were not reported by unofficial sources, and 1 was excluded as it was a non-natural outbreak. For the remaining 36 outbreaks, the median difference in first date of report between official and unofficial sources was analyzed using a Wilcoxon sign rank test.

Results

Outbreak reporting in official sources lagged by a statistically significant median of 2 days (p=0.003). Among unofficial sources, online news most often (75%) was the fastest to report an outbreak, followed by ProMED (22%) and participatory surveillance (3%). Among official sources, national government affiliated institutes were most often (41%) the fastest, and repeatedly providing prompt outbreak reports were the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Public Health Agency of Canada, Finnish Food Safety Authority, Health Protection Scotland, UK Health Protection Agency, and French Institute of Public Health Surveillance (FIPHS). Following such institutes were the European CDC (ECDC) with 22% of first reports of outbreaks; MoH’s (17%); and WHO (10%). There were 4 instances in which official sources reported before unofficial sources—3 by the ECDC and 1 by FIPHS.

Conclusions

Compared to the Chan study reporting a 16 day lag between first public communication and WHO Outbreak News (1) and the Mondor study reporting a 10 day lag between non-government and government sources (2), the present study shows a much condensed lag of 2 days between unofficial and official sources. Because the two earlier studies cover a much broader historical time frame, one explanation for the reduced lag time is increased adoption of online communication by official government agencies. However, despite such improvements in communication, the lag persists, pointing to the importance of using informal sources for outbreak surveillance.

The present study was limited by small sample size, as the study is in its early stages. We will continue to gather data and all numbers will be updated in time for the presentation to reflect the larger database. Future directions of this study include characterization of official and unofficial reporting by region, language, disease, and source.

ojphi-05-62f1.tif
[Figure ID: f1-ojphi-05-62]
Fig. 1 

Interactive visualization of HealthMap MoH+, at healthmap.org/mohplus



References
1.. Chan, et al. Global capacity for emerging infectious disease detectionPNAS. 2010
2.. Mondor, et al. Timeliness of Nongovernmental versus Governmental Global Outbreak CommunicationsEID. 2012

Article Categories:
  • ISDS 2012 Conference Abstracts

Keywords: disease surveillance, outbreak reporting, timeliness, MOH, official sources.




Online Journal of Public Health Informatics * ISSN 1947-2579 * http://ojphi.org